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_ms_izzy
Sub Stack / 🔑substack
After 4/18/2026 12:00 AM
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Iran's military said the Strait of Hormuz is closed again, prompting ships to turn back, per WSJ
10:45 AM
Chevron Corp. is set to expand its oil footprint in Venezuela, benefitting from its almost 20-year bet to remain in the country amid political and economic turmoil. https://t.co/9m4vrkiRbA
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 12:35 PM
TRUMP ON SOCIAL MEDIA: The U.S. Navy Guided Missile Destroyer USS SPRUANCE intercepted the TOUSKA in the Gulf of Oman, and gave them fair warning to stop. The Iranian crew refused to listen, so our Navy ship stopped them right in their tracks by blowing a hole in the engineroom.
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Weekend oil
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hi all!! @everyone
👋 5
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Trader Kitty 4/19/2026 1:42 PM
Hi Izzy! Will you be streaming today? I am currently rewatching Fri's stream on youtube.
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i might stream the open but it'll depend! my brother and wife get back from Mexico this evening so if i finish the report early enough then yes!
1:43 PM
thanks for watching the stream
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Trader Kitty 4/19/2026 1:47 PM
Gotcha, and you're welcome!
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hope you had a great weekened!!
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Trader Kitty 4/19/2026 1:51 PM
It was a good one. I hope yours was relaxing - you deserve a break 🙂 .
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nailed these ranges from the day prior! @everyone
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Trader Kitty
It was a good one. I hope yours was relaxing - you deserve a break 🙂 .
it was anything BUT relaxing haha but it was still good! 🙂
😂 1
1:56 PM
how do you guys prefer this weeks report @everyone
1:56 PM
condensed? point form? full detail?
1:57 PM
i feel the streams have been fully detailed along with the recaps but majority of this will become repetitive when trading core to core types of breaks
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_ms_izzy
condensed? point form? full detail?
LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 1:57 PM
point form 😊
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this is a great use of our 100 point theory guys! @everyone
1:57 PM
and can easily be applied to this recent PA
1:57 PM
along with my 3 bar theories of 4th/7th bars
1:57 PM
great way to go back and do a case study/review
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas
point form 😊
ok great!
1:58 PM
it should be finished in the next 30 minutes ahead of open
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Extended core ratios aka full ratios of 103/107/110/115 points would equate to our 7170’s/7180’s off of todays extremely calculated open and close at 7055-7057 areas @everyone this was major off the mid week report
2:21 PM
going live now to go over some conditions @everyone
2:22 PM
2:22 PM
2:22 PM
held above 7148 --> stayed beneath 7188-7192
2:24 PM
2:24 PM
2:25 PM
2:26 PM
7057-7058 / 7078
2:27 PM
2:27 PM
2:28 PM
how many points to extend @everyone
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100
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:28 PM
20
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127.50
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128
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128-132
2:29 PM
x2 256
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Sorry- infant screaming lol
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260
2:30 PM
2:30 PM
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:30 PM
yes
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128-132 pt break off close
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75
2:31 PM
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Ohhhhh
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:32 PM
core
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7121-7132
2:32 PM
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:32 PM
103-107-110-115-
2:33 PM
y
2:33 PM
yes
2:33 PM
no
2:33 PM
no
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Btw whoever called the top on the stream poll deserves a medal
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2:34 PM
On Friday
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I think there were two people
2:34 PM
Who voted
2:34 PM
😂
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:35 PM
open > 7150
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:36 PM
y
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:37 PM
yes
2:38 PM
2:39 PM
7192.50
2:39 PM
2:39 PM
7189.25 - open/close
2:40 PM
7057.25
2:40 PM
????
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:40 PM
core
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zoneentry?around 88
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7078.25 - 7181.75 103 7078.25 - 7185.25 107 7078.25 - 7188.25 110 7088.25 - 7193.25 115
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:42 PM
y
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7077.25 - 7180.75 103 7077.25 - 7184.25 107 7077.25 - 7187.25 110 7077.25 - 7192.25 115
2:44 PM
Extended core ratios aka full ratios of 103/107/110/115 points would equate to our 7170’s/7180’s off of todays extremely calculated open and close at 7055-7057 areas @everyone
2:45 PM
7077/7078 full core ratios 103-107-110-115 are the same thing as FULL RATIOS from the 256 pt theory of pushing 128-132 pts off 7057-7058 @EVERYONE
2:46 PM
7161.25 == 103 pt ratio
2:46 PM
7163.25 = 103/104 pt ratio
2:47 PM
7058.25 --->>> 7168.25 110 pts*
2:48 PM
7057.25 --->>> 7167.25 110 pts*
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cupandhandle 4/19/2026 2:48 PM
means
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:48 PM
core
2:49 PM
66
2:49 PM
>70
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7058.25 --->>> 7173.25 115 pts 7057.25 --->>> 7172.25 115
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:50 PM
y
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Starting to click, have to review. Thank you
2:51 PM
66-68 LOWER CORE
2:51 PM
71-75 MID CORE
2:51 PM
76-78-81 UPPER CORE
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Below 7150?
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:52 PM
Channel (edited)
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7174.75 = 128 pts off lows 7176.75 = 132 pts off lows
2:55 PM
2:55 PM
7118.50 = 72 pt ratio
2:55 PM
2:56 PM
7120-7122-7124-7128-7131-7133-7134
2:58 PM
multi flips and 6th/7th bars implies volatilityand two directional PA
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 2:58 PM
y
2:59 PM
7103-7108-7110-7114 neutralized area --->>> hold and break back to highs OR fail and break back to 7071-7078 etc
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40 sec to open
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7164
2:59 PM
They’re bidding 7106 😬
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7103-7108-7110-7114 neutralized area --->>> hold and break back to highs OR fail and break back to 7071-7078 etc
3:00 PM
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7102.50 open
3:01 PM
Just below 103 lol
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I already had gone over all of the visuals in the previous reports but we can do one more take at the current calculated ranges and how they can be a factor for the week ahead. Considering we’re hitting our 6th/7th bars this week, we need to be extremely diligent as volatility can begin to arise in terms of expansions/exhaustion periods, which can often trigger two directional price action. @everyone
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@worldtraveler2 your mic is on, please turn it off
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7103-7108-7110-7114 neutralized area --->>> hold and break back to highs OR fail and break back to 7071-7078 etc
3:05 PM
14th-21st-28th
3:05 PM
15th-22nd-29th
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 3:06 PM
yes
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Yes thank you
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@everyone did this help you understand ratios a bit better in specific to opening/closing/highs/lows and their probabilities
✅ 1
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Yes, Thank You
3:07 PM
1.
3:07 PM
2.
3:07 PM
market...
3:07 PM
dynamics
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 3:08 PM
no
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6th-7th bars
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 3:08 PM
I was thinking market structure
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3rd bar between the 13th-14th was the same thing
3:09 PM
as this 6th bar between the 20th-22nd
3:09 PM
?
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 3:09 PM
gap down and went higher
3:10 PM
83 pt gap down off highs
3:10 PM
3:11 PM
7186.25 = 83.75 pt range
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LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 3:11 PM
we could have an inside day
3:13 PM
Thank Izzy
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thank you
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Thank You !!
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kodaktrader 4/19/2026 3:14 PM
TY!
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hopefully this helps summarize it a bit @everyone
3:21 PM
3:21 PM
sounds good?
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Does “reset” mean buy the hell out of that dip or watch for a major short?
3:22 PM
well it'd trigger where we began
3:23 PM
7042-7046 area and basically previously all time highs
3:23 PM
retests 6988-7032 potentially
3:23 PM
7028-7032
3:23 PM
it's the reset i discussed on last week as a potential odd IF they dont clear to 7070'+ or 7120's and instead recycle b ack down (edited)
3:23 PM
_ms_izzy APP — 2026-04-16 10:57 AM down to retest 7044, 7049 and make this recyclable into the end of week into the zone areas basically back to previous all time highs.
3:25 PM
_ms_izzy APP — 2026-04-15 9:53 PM we'll have to see I guess if they can trigger that 70. 81 spots so far they're stalling 70. So we'll see. I didn't really look at downside scenarios, but I would say downside would be if we come back beneath 70. would be. 44, 49, like I was saying. That's when they could start to recycle the week, okay? So if they did something like that, 7044 beneath. This, it's not necessarily bearish, but it would basically keep. Probably closer to lake. these areas for the end of the week. Does that make sense? Like the zone to channel balance? and maybe pinnable and resetting. at all time high pins. Like, you know, how vast of them, they couldn't pin seven each twenty-eight.
3:25 PM
same logic
3:25 PM
essentially recycle 100 pts dowdn to prevent 100 pts higher above 7188 @everyone
3:26 PM
and reset ATH conditions off 7022-7028-7032-7038-7042-7044 etc etc
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3:27 PM
can think of it like.... 7188-7192--->>>>>> 7200's++++ 7088-7092 failures ---back to prior zone
3:27 PM
which is prior ATH zone.
3:27 PM
they left this in the middle
3:29 PM
see
3:30 PM
vs off actual H/L (6991.75/7185.75)
3:30 PM
3:30 PM
THE NEUTRALIZED BOX basically
3:30 PM
is the median point
3:30 PM
👀 1
3:33 PM
also makes sense cuz
3:33 PM
3:33 PM
117 pts
3:33 PM
is the median between 107-128
3:34 PM
they hit 107.50/128.50
3:34 PM
median is = 236/2 = 118
3:34 PM
117.75
3:34 PM
crazy
3:34 PM
off a low to close and close to high ratio
3:34 PM
= confliction
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@LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas lol tried to keep itbullet form but unfortunately this week is more complex
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clean flag
4:00 PM
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Was this stream recorded by chance? I got an important call right when you went live so I missed everything
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_ms_izzy
@LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas lol tried to keep itbullet form but unfortunately this week is more complex
LboysB.Strategos.Celeritas 4/19/2026 4:15 PM
Tks for trying 😊
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joeyTminus
Was this stream recorded by chance? I got an important call right when you went live so I missed everything
it's transcribed butr not recorded unfortunately
4:16 PM
i am putting it all into the report with visuals though!
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Ok thank you Izzy
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it's extremely complex so i'm trying my best to simplifiy it hahah
4:17 PM
i'm almost done!
4:17 PM
got raided by the kids arriving LOL
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i'm not gonna include this in the report bu tthat gap down analogy is pretty cool considering that 83.75 pt range we discussed the previous week @everyone VERY IMPORTANT PATTERN You compared current structure to: 🔁 April 10–13 sequence: Gap down → reclaim → continuation Current expectation: Market may: Push down first Then reverse higher Creates: Fake weakness → real move later
4:30 PM
ok finally published @everyone
4:30 PM
its a bit of a read but hopefully the visuals can help
4:30 PM
if you have questions let me know
💪 4
chartup 1
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_ms_izzy
if you have questions let me know
KatieTradie 4/19/2026 6:49 PM
When you say full reset , is that 256 pts?
6:49 PM
6929
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Hey all! 7120’s being retraced like we discussed overnight
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KatieTradie
When you say full reset , is that 256 pts?
yessss essentially back to prior ATH zone!
7:01 PM
But ideally higher than that
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KatieTradie 4/19/2026 7:01 PM
K, thank you!
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Around 6988-7032 for starters
7:01 PM
Risk extends beneath there
7:01 PM
7186-256 =6,930
7:01 PM
7186-132 =7,054
7:01 PM
7186-150 =7,036
7:02 PM
7186 -173 =7,013
7:02 PM
7186-346 =6,840
7:02 PM
^^^ that would put our 6846 calculated hold back in play
7:03 PM
It aligns super well around our structures too from the 10th-16th!
7:03 PM
6846/6920’s/6930s/7004-7014/7050’s
7:03 PM
Hope this helps
🩷 1
7:04 PM
6932+7186 =14,118/ 2 =7,059
7:05 PM
Basically 6920’s-6930’s can trigger IF 7050’s fail
7:05 PM
Which is aligned with our closing points of 7057-7058. It’s super calculated
7:05 PM
7103+7186 =14,289/ 2 =7,144.5
7:05 PM
^^ that’s what has to retrace to increase odds of retesting highs
7:06 PM
7059+7186 =14,245/ 2 =7,122.5
7:06 PM
^^ for overnight
7:06 PM
7144 likely for London session or by real time
7:06 PM
7059+7103 =14,162/ 2 =7,081
7:07 PM
^^^ current overnight support
7:07 PM
Does that make sense??
7:08 PM
the actual ranges would be the following: ideally sustain 7081+ reclaim 7122 get back to 7144 by open gets back odds of retesting 7186
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7:08 PM
This is a great way to set overnight conditions @everyone
7:13 PM
So downside ladder would look something like this: stall 7140’s Backrest 7122 back to neutralized spots 7103-7110 ^^ this is the triggering area which can keep us back and forth as report states 7100’s being lost second time around gives higher probability or triggering 7081 7078-7081 triggers increase risk (7102.50+7058.50 =14,161/2 =7,080.5 — 7102.50+ 7057.50 =14,160/2 =7,080) basically back to 7077-7078 closing points on the 16th/17th aka core areas) THIS is the real test of which end wins IF we dial the channel, make sense?! It’s also the same thing as STALLING 7144-7148 PM highs ahead of making core highs in RT Friday This then can trigger 7057-7059 area again and the legs are what I just discussed above @everyone
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7:14 PM
There’s the probability IF they did stall 7140’s-7160s let’s say, they could retest 7081 and just form a slightly lower low (current low is 7085)
7:14 PM
They may leave that tiny buffer intentionally so we’ll be diligent
7:14 PM
Does this make sense? @everyone
7:15 PM
Kind of like how they left the buffer beneath 7188-7192
7:15 PM
4-6pts beneath 7188-7192 4-6pts above 7077-7078-7080
7:15 PM
genius
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Reading this weeks report be like…
7:55 PM
🤣 3
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sorry lol
8:29 PM
sometimes I have to just drop it all on you guys
8:30 PM
I’ll throw this into a new weekly thread on Substack @everyone
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KatieTradie 4/19/2026 8:31 PM
I entered into chat gpt for a visual
8:31 PM
It didn't turn out pretty, but makes sense
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I love reports like this izzy, good quiet reading on the plane lol
💛 1
8:32 PM
appreciate the detail
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I’m scared to open it now
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8:34 PM
lol
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realized the Substack thread is public by accident
8:38 PM
now I’d feel rude closing it off lol
8:38 PM
oh well
8:38 PM
was caught off guard by the fast responses
8:38 PM
bet they wont respond now after what I just shared 🤣🤣🤣🤣
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KatieTradie
I entered into chat gpt for a visual
I can enter it on mine and see how it turns out
8:39 PM
thanks guys
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KatieTradie 4/19/2026 8:40 PM
I got these-
8:40 PM
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Just tell them it’s a free trial maybe you’ll get some subs out of it
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I got this lol
8:42 PM
❤️ 1
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That’s still a lot 😂😂
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My ChatGPT is so sick of me
8:44 PM
Hahahahaha
8:44 PM
It’s like bitch stfu leave me alone and stop making my life complicated
8:44 PM
😭
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I like Claude a lot better I switched a while ago
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your chatgpt knows your memes tho
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I sent it my discord screenshots hahaha
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lol nice
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KatieTradie
Click to see attachment 🖼️
I like this
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_ms_izzy
I got this lol
KatieTradie 4/19/2026 8:46 PM
It included the head tap guy lol
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8:48 PM
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Oh ya that’s a few mouthfuls eh haha
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This is what claude gave me
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First time using it for scripts and I have to say it is WAAAAAYYY easier to work with. I fought GPT a lot lol
9:34 PM
Here's the weekly plan script link if anyone wants it https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ugsbbLOS/
Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView!
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Booth
This is what claude gave me
Wow that’s soooo nice
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Give Claude a try you’ll probably like it better. Gpt struggle making the timeframe input I was asking it to make. Tried Claude and got it in two prompts because it was smart enough to ask me what time the session started to anchor it to lol
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Idk if the math on that is accurate tho after taking a double look that’s the part that sucks is getting AI to get the conditions and equations proper
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Booth
Give Claude a try you’ll probably like it better. Gpt struggle making the timeframe input I was asking it to make. Tried Claude and got it in two prompts because it was smart enough to ask me what time the session started to anchor it to lol
Ohhh
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Well this is what it flagged when i told it to double check the work
10:06 PM
10:07 PM
6920+346 =7,266
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Hmmmm well, AI is not quite Izzy yet lol
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Hahaha
10:34 PM
the rest was accurate
10:34 PM
I put together the analysis from last Saturday night on crypto too
10:34 PM
10:35 PM
I’ll put it out tomorrow
10:35 PM
ES 7122 retest and stall, back to 7114
10:35 PM
Losing 7103-7106 area again is what can trigger volatility
10:36 PM
I had higher odds of clearing 7122 during London session but I want to sleep soon
10:50 PM
maybe Germany numbers are what can break range either above 7122 or beneath 7099-7106
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alsoooooo
10:59 PM
Did anyone take crude hedges like I said to on Friday?!??
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_ms_izzy
oil will be one of our leading indicators again
.
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_ms_izzy
let’s keep oil on watch again @everyone
.
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_ms_izzy
it’s moved down quite a bit off our 119-121 stalls and has made for a great short with our ES upside theory
.
11:04 PM
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11:06 PM
German PPI MoM Actual 2.5% (Forecast 1.4%, Previous -0.5%)
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I took advantage of the dip on CVX almost back to full position
11:22 PM
I plan on holding a good sized core for a long time though
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whats the news?
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🔴Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson Baghaei: There is no plan for a second round of negotiations with the US for now
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